Date & Time: Monday, 3 February, 14:30 IST
TV Broadcast: Live on Sky Sports
The final league match of the ILT20 before the play-offs sees Desert Vipers take on Dubai Capitals in a dead rubber. While the outcome won’t impact qualification, there are still some intriguing factors at play, particularly in the betting markets.
Team News & Expected XI
Desert Vipers
The Vipers have had a four-day break leading up to this match, which raises questions about their level of focus. With a top-two finish already secured, they may choose to rotate their squad. Previously, they have rested key players like Lockie Ferguson and Wanindu Hasaranga. The team is also experimenting with a new UAE pairing of Dhruv Parashar (all-rounder) and Kuzaima Tanveer (pacer). Keeper Tanisu Suri is out, with Adam Hose taking over wicketkeeping duties.
Probable XI: Fakhar Zaman, Alex Hales (sub: Mohammad Amir), Max Holden, Dan Lawrence, Sam Curran, Azam Khan, Adam Hose (wk), Dhruv Parashar, Wanindu Hasaranga, Kuzaima Tanveer, Lockie Ferguson.
Dubai Capitals
The Capitals secured their play-off spot with a crucial win over the Knight Riders on Sunday. Their squad has been bolstered by the arrivals of David Warner and Sam Billings, fresh from the Big Bash League final with Sydney Thunder. This injection of quality and experience could prove decisive.
Probable XI: Shai Hope, David Warner, Gulbadin Naib, Rovman Powell, Dasun Shanaka, Sam Billings (wk), Sikandar Raza, Haider Ali, Dushmantha Chameera, Qais Ahmad, Farhan Ahmed.
Pitch & Conditions Report
Sharjah has historically favoured teams chasing under lights. Out of the last 35 matches played here, 21 have been won by the chasing side. Given that this match is relatively meaningless in terms of tournament progression, the batters may play with more freedom, leading to a higher-scoring contest. The par score for the venue typically hovers around the late 150s, but with relaxed bowling efforts, totals could surpass that mark.
Match Prediction & Betting Tips
Dubai Capitals are expected to start as underdogs at 2.20 odds, which presents potential value, especially if they chase. While the game may not carry much significance for either team, Warner and Billings will likely be eager to make an impact. The Vipers, on the other hand, have shown a tendency to ease off in such situations.
Key Betting Tips:
- Back Sam Billings as top Capitals batter at 8/1. The wicketkeeper-batter is in excellent form and will want to make a statement.
- Consider betting on the Capitals to win if they chase. The strong chasing bias at Sharjah favours them.
- Look at total runs markets. A high-scoring match could be on the cards, so taking the over on a modest par line in the 150s could be a smart play.
Final Verdict
Dubai Capitals have the momentum and new arrivals with something to prove, while the Vipers may take it easy. If Capitals bat second, they should be backed to win, taking advantage of Sharjah’s chasing trend.
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